Recently, the Election Commission has announced the date of upcoming assembly elections in Karnataka. According to the Election Commission, the assembly elections for all the regions of Karnataka will be held in a single phase, and the results of the elections held on May 10 will come by May 13. But with this, a serious problem has arisen for both Congress and JDS, which puts a question mark on the very existence of the party in the state.
Read in this article how the Congress is all set to destroy itself in the upcoming Karnataka assembly elections, and how JDS is also going to do no good. So let’s start without delay.
Split in Congress?
The Election Commission has just shared information regarding the Karnataka assembly elections, and already the Congress camp is in a tizzy. Why so?
In fact, even though the road is difficult for the BJP on paper, there is no special advantage for the Congress either. The reason is the factionalism of the party, which at present is clearly divided into three camps.
On one side is the former Chief Minister of Karnataka Siddaramaiah, and on the other is the party’s senior manager and “resort king” DK Shivakumar. The third name is a bit unexpected, but it deserves its share, and it is none other than Mallikarjun Kharge, the current president of the Congress party, who is currently “uniting the underworld” to save Rahul Gandhi’s status.
Who has the upper hand?
So the question arises: who has the upper hand here? It is a bit difficult to understand, because all the factions are trying their best, but no one is able to emerge as a decisive winner.
First come on Siddaramaiah.
To say this, he is the most powerful contender of Congress in Karnataka, and also a big proponent of regionalism. Under his leadership, the Congress won the elections in 2013, and under his leadership, the Congress defeated the Janata Dal in 2018 to retain power. [सेक्युलर] HD Kumaraswamy was made the Chief Minister after making a pact with him, just as the Congress along with several other parties made his father, HD Deve Gowda, the Prime Minister 21 years ago to keep the BJP out of power, the different thing is that both The same person could not last even for two years in his post.
Now as far as JDS is concerned, they have no card other than regionalism. Their performance on caste equation has been almost nil but silent.
In 2019, the BJP gave a record-breaking performance in the Lok Sabha elections, undoing all the hard work they had put in in 2018.
The BJP won 25 seats in 2019 with a vote share of 51.38%, almost a sweep, compared to 17 in 2014.
But this time there is a serious problem with Siddaramaiah. First of all, even after being the most effective leader of the party, no one gives him any sense, and he himself does not understand that if he fights, then from where?
Initially, he was ready to fight from his traditional area Kolar, but then when the public showed anger towards him, he decided to fight from Varuna area.
But now Siddaramaiah knows what is haunting him that he will fight with Kolar as well as Varuna. Lest this strategy of walking on two boats drowns them.
Read more: How Siddaramaiah will be a headache for Congress in Karnataka elections
Then what is the alternative?
Two leaders emerge as strong alternatives for the Congress at this point of time: DK Shivakumar and Mallikarjun Kharge. While DK Shivakumar is a prominent face of the Vokkaligas, Karnataka’s most influential community, Kharge is a prominent alternative to the SC/ST community.
But there is a problem with these too. While DK Shivakumar is embroiled in various corruption-related allegations, Mallikarjun Kharge’s stay in Delhi is making things difficult for him, creating an image that he “will not be able to connect with Karnataka on the ground”.
Another name has cropped up: that of G. Parameshwara, once considered one of the most powerful leaders of the Karnataka Congress, and also the former Deputy Chief Minister of Karnataka for a brief period. He also does not want Siddaramaiah to emerge as the main candidate for the party in the elections, and his role in such a situation will be interesting to watch.
Read more: Mallikarjun Kharge is preparing to completely destroy Congress in Karnataka
What will happen to Congress?
When elections were held in 2013, winning the elections for the Congress was a breeze. The Congress then came to power with a vote share of around 37 percent, and an absolute majority of 122 seats. But in 2018, as if the state was transformed. Even after increasing the vote share of Congress, it could not convert it into seats, and it had to be satisfied with only 80 seats.
But the situation is no better for JDS as well, it did not get even half of the vote percentage it got in 2018, i.e. a little over 18 percent, in 2019. He had to satisfy with only 9 percent votes and 1 Lok Sabha seat.
Read more: Now there will be ‘Sandhya Aarti’ instead of ‘Salaam Aarti’ in Karnataka
Although the situation of BJP is not much better at present, but the way Congress is getting entangled in its own trap, and JDS is not ready to give up its Coop Mandook trend, according to that impossible may be possible in 2023, that is years After this, BJP will not only return to power, but will not leave Congress and JDS anywhere.
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