The nice begin to Tua Tagovailoa’s Year 3 is derailed indefinitely by his concussion, so Miami native Teddy Bridgewater steps in, and up. Miami was favored by six however line lower in half when Tagovailoa was declared out. Still, Dolfans ought to keep calm. Bridgewater is a starter-caliber expertise who has made 63 profession begins, and a Pro Bowl. He’s fairly good. And he has by no means earlier than had Tyreek Hil and Jaylen Waddle to throw to. T-Bridge (a nickname I simply made up) is reliably higher proper now than NYJ’s Zach Wilson, who’s again from harm however regarded mighty shaky in his season debut final week. Wilson, although, could catch a break Sunday as a result of injured Fins CB Byron Jones will not be but able to return and star CB Xavien Hward (groin) is questionable. Miami’s protection continues to be higher, however the Planes’ D could be sneaky good and did have 4 picks towards Pitt final week. Bottom line: Dolphins are higher all spherical, have owned Jets of late, on a 8-1 sequence run, and have added relaxation after enjoying final Thursday. As for the QB state of affairs? Trust Teddy till he provides you motive to not.
GAME OF THE WEEK
BENGALS (2-2) at RAVENS (2-2)
Line: BAL by 3.
Cote’s choose: BAL, 27-23.
TV: 8:20 p.m., NBC.
Another GOTW committee assembly roiling with debate as Cowboys-Rams and even Eagles-Cards had their proponents. But easy methods to go improper with Joe Burrow at Lamar Jackson on a Sunday evening? (You can’t.) Baltimore has misplaced 5 consecutive dwelling video games, and Cincy is on an 0-9 skid on Sunday evening. Somebody’s aberrant development is gonna finish. Worth monitoring: Bengals WR Tee Higgins and Baltimore RB J.Okay. Dobbins each are iffy to play. Cincy has gained previous two conferences and rolled up 41 factors in every, and Crows’ protection has been beat up the previous few video games — bear in mind Tua’s six TDs? — so the onus is squarely on the house crew’s D right here. I feel it is going to rise and ship. Gals have the remaining edge after enjoying final Thursday, however Ravens ought to be capable to hound Burrow and his shaky offensive line.
UPSET OF THE WEEK
CHARGERS (2-2) at BROWNS (2-2)
Line: LAC by 2 1/2.
Cote’s choose: CLE, 26-24. Upset!
TV: 1 p.m., CBS.
“AAAWWWK!” croons the Upset Bird. “Cleveland Braaawwwk!” Justin Herbert vs. Jacoby Brissett by itself appears fairly the mismatch, however a lot else has us leaning to the house crew. Liking Cleveland’s protection a bit extra, and that Nick Chubb-led floor sport is the true deal — sufficient to restrict reliance on Brissett and to additionally restrict Herbert’s time on the sphere. Plus, Keenan Allen (hamstring) continues very iffy, so Herbert could as soon as once more be lacking his favourite goal. “Fact: Jacoby’s offense has scored more points than Justin’s through four games,” notes U-Bird with a wink. “Jacoby Brissaawwk!”
THE REST OF WEEK 5:
Colts (1-2-1) at Broncos (2-2) Thursday evening: We had Denver (-3 1/2) profitable and overlaying, 23-17. Find that full separate prediction capsule right here.
Packers (3-1, -8) over Giants (3-1), 27-17, in London: Breakfast at Tottenham as King Sport is again for its second of 4 London video games with a 9:30 a.m. ET begin. Brits get two tradition-rich, “name” golf equipment, plus Aaron Rodgers. NYG’s QB state is precarious with Daniel Jones enjoying on a young ankle and No. 2 Tyrod Taylor in concussion protocol. Biggies’ greatest shot is massive dose of Saquon Barkley to play keep-away from Rodgers.
@Bills (3-1, -14) over Steelers (1-3), 34-13: An enormous level unfold for the NFL, however justified. Rookie Kenny Pickett making his first professional begin in a tricky venue towards a fantastic protection is all you’ll want to know. Pitt has gained 11 of previous vs. Buffs, however instances — and QBs — have modified. Steelers at the moment are 0-7 with out T.J. Watt and gained’t have a solution for Josh Allen. Bills face letdown on heel of massive comeback win at Baltimore however nonetheless see a snug coast.
@Vikings (3-1, -7 1/2) over Bears (2-2), 24-16: Minny is off to its greatest begin since 2016 and may maintain it going at dwelling vs. a division rival that may’t get out of ts personal method on offense behind a struggling Justin Fields. Chitown‘s D keeps it in games, but Dalvin Cook faces a Bears run defense gouged badly by the Giants last week.
@Patriots (1-3, -3) over Lions (1-3), 24-20: A bit surprised this game wasn’t off the board, with Pats QB Mac Jones (ankle) iffy to return, backup Brian Hoyer in concussion protocol and and rookie Bailey Zappe on name for his maiden NFL begin. Relying on Bill Belichick, dwelling discipline and protection for this name. Motown’s harmful offense has WR accidents and can possible be lacking RB D’Andre Swift. And oh my however Detroit’s protection stinks! Taking Packers to additional time final week exhibits New England has struggle left.
@Saints (1-3, -5 1/2) over Seahawks (2-2), 24-23: Tough name that had us wavering. Geno Smith is sizzling, however Seattle’s protection is on the sting of terrible. N’Awlins a surprisingly massive favourite regardless of 11 giveaways and a minus-7 internet on turnovers. Banged-up Jameis Winston (again, ankle) may yield to Andy Dalton once more, however that’s just about a wash. Shaky nod to Saints, however the wager line appears fatter than me leaving an all-you-can-eat buffet.
@Buccaneers (2-2, -9) over Falcons (2-2), 31-17: Tampa Bay has misplaced two straight, albeit to Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes. Should be bit simpler for Tom Brady to outscore Marcus Mariota — particularly with Falcons prime weapon Cordarrelle Patterson out and TE Kyle Pitts iffy to play. Brady is 4-0 vs. ATL as a Buc and his protection ought to dominate right here.
@Commanders (1-3, +1 1/2) over Titans (2-2), 23-20. Upset!: Another tough name, with two erratic groups and highway fave Tennessee dealing with a letdown after final week’s massive division upset at Indy. Two subpar defenses, however I’m saddling up the house canines on an admittedly marginal-confidence hunch.
@Jaguars (2-2, -7) over Texans (0-3-1), 21-17: Time for Jax and Trevor Lawrence to get again a few of their “it team” shine after falling in Philly final week. Houston is NFL’s final winless crew however not so putrid it may be taken flippantly by a Jags squad with a lot proving nonetheless to do. Lawrence misplaced 4 fumbles (!) final week as a result of his O-line was so terrible, and Texans D is sixth in league in sacks.
49ers (2-2, -6 1/2) over @Panthers (1-3), 19-16: Not fairly sufficient for an official Upset Alert, however San Fran is on a brief week and dealing with a letdown after that massive division win over Rams on Monday evening. Carolina on a 1-10 skid relationship to final season, and Baker Mayfield finds methods to lose, however nonetheless hunching Cats keep contained in the wager line in a points-shy sport.
@Rams (2-2, -5 1/2) over Cowboys, 27-23: The Upset Bird was circling this one. L.A. off a brief week after enjoying Monday evening, and badly, getting spanked by Niners.Matthew Stafford‘s offensive line is a holy mess. The AT&T spokesman has been sacked 16 times already. And Dallas is 3-0 under Cooper Riush and has won its past five road games. Having said that, Rush is due a stumble and Rams will find some champion mojo at home. Like Boys with the points, though.
Eagles (4-0, -5 1/2) @Cardinals (2-2), 30-20: Bird Bowl features Eagles as The Last Unbeaten. Are the Dolphins’ 1972 Perfectos poised and able to toast? Is the champagne chillin’ within the coolerator? Might an upset occur? Yes. Kyler Murray is able to going off, and Philadelphia might have a distracted eye on its subsequent opponent, rival Dallas. But would I wager on that upset? No. Philly has nice stability, with and with out the ball and tops the NFL with a plus-8 turnover differential. Eagles have gained eight straight as the favourite, and Zona has dropped seven dwelling video games in a row by a mixed 77 factors. Sorry, Perfectos. Maybe subsequent week?
@Chiefs (3-1, -7) over Raiders (1-3), 34-23: Monday evening stage will get a division rivalry and what may very well be a shootout. Kansas City has dominated the Raiders of late — profitable three in a row by a mixed 124-54, and 13 of the previous 15 — however the timing may be proper for Vegas. Chiefs simply beat Tom Brady and Bucs and have Josh Allen and Buffalo subsequent, so this may very well be a look-ahead/sandwich sport state of affairs for Okay.C. Raiders will want that and extra.
[Note: Betting lines are courtesy Caesars Sportsbook as of Thursday afternoon.]
HOW THE DARTS LANDED
Like a canine coming in out of the rain, we’re shaking off our gradual begin. In Week 4 we had a strong 10-6 mark total (our second straight double-digit wins) and a season-best 9-6-1 ledger towards the unfold, with the Bills’ three-point victory the tying push. We bull’s-eyed a pleasant outright upset with Titans profitable at Colts, and in addition had Seahawks with the factors at Detroit. Nailed the Dolphins-Cincy choose, too; at all times particularly prefer to hit the Miami sport good. Sledding has been robust as a result of NFL parity is raging like by no means earlier than. Through 4 weeks 23 video games have been determined by three factors or fewer and 31 by six or fewer — each probably the most ever at this juncture. But we expect we’ve got our mojo again and might slay that parity. Now let’s maintain it rollin’! [Note: Find our Thursday night Colts-Broncos pick in a separate prediction capsule here.]
Week 4: 10-6, .625 total; 9-6-1, .600 vs. unfold.
Season: 34-29-1, .540 total; 30-33-1, .477 vs. unfold.
Final 2021: 172-99-1, .635 total; 140-130-2, .519 vs. unfold.
Final 2020: 166-89-1, .651 total; 130-120-6, .520 vs. unfold.
Greg Cote is a Miami Herald sports activities columnist who in 2021 was named prime 10 in column writing by the Associated Press Sports Editors. Greg additionally hosts The Greg Cote Show podcast and seems often on The Dan LeBatard Show With Stugotz.